Understanding conservative women in the Trump era
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Authors
Walsh, Lilly
Skulley, Carrie
Swift, Clint
Issue Date
2020
Type
Presentation
Language
en_US
Keywords
Scholarship Sewanee 2020 , United States Presidential election 2016 , Donald Trump election , Conservative women voting , Feminist views on elections , Politics , Women in politics , Conservative women
Alternative Title
Abstract
The 2016 presidential election was a turbulent one that required many voters, particularly women, to make difficult decisions when it came time to vote. With this in mind, this research examines whether the particular issue of the future ideological direction of the Supreme Court was a possible deciding factor for women who chose to vote for President Trump. Specifically, I asked whether women who voted for Trump were more likely to have a negative assessment of the current Supreme Court. In my research, I used a logistic regression to examine data collected from the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES) of both Republican women and voters in general. Since the CCES did not directly ask voters a question about the significance of the Supreme Court as a voting issue, to measure its significance, the models were organized using four major issues that were deemed particularly relevant to the Supreme Court recently: abortion, gay marriage, immigration, and healthcare. The results from this research were mixed – showing that, for Republican women in particular, the Supreme Court was likely a relevant factor but not necessarily a clearly deciding factor. Interestingly, Supreme Court assessments exhibited the most substantive significance among models examining voters in general, not just women.
Description
Citation
Publisher
University of the South