Contract Year Phenomenon: NFL Quarterbacks

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Authors
Brodsky, Zachary
Demkowicz, Jared
Kerr, James
Issue Date
2020
Type
Presentation
Keywords
Scholarship Sewanee 2020 , Football , National Football League contracts , Quarterbacks
Abstract
Athletes may decide, consciously or unconsciously, to perform at their peak capabilities the year preceding their free agency—their contract year—to ensure the greatest opportunity of earning the best possible contract. This paper examines this contract year phenomenon for professional quarterbacks in the National Football League (NFL). We use data for ten quarterbacks from 2010 to 2019 and employ a fixed effects model. We find that while there isn’t much statistically significant evidence towards the contract year phenomenon, there was an increase in performance in the years prior to the contract year.
Citation